Normiefication is a vernacular concept that describes a process of normalization where “underground” content from fringe subcultural online communities travels to and is popularized on mainstream social media platforms and news media. The concept borrows from subcultural actor language where “the mainstream” is said to be populated by “normies”: regular people that are not familiar with the Internet’s latest subcultural trends. Our research explores the various pathways of normiefication in an empirical manner, inquiring whether such a process can indeed be said to exist, and how exactly it works in a particular case. To this end, it takes the far-right QAnon conspiracy theory as a case study. Does this case warrant the concept of normiefication?
To a large extent, our findings can be said to confirm the “normiefication thesis”. We found that the QAnon conspiracy first appears on the imageboard 4chan (28 October 2017) before migrating to Reddit and 8chan (November 2017), more “mainstream” platforms (YouTube and Facebook), and eventually news media (New York Times, Washington Post, CNN). The results imply that platforms like YouTube and Reddit could operate as “bridges,” forming intermediaries that connect the “deep vernacular” with the “surface” web. Further, the findings suggest a slight “Streisand effect” after mainstream media covered the conspiracy, since it aligns with increased mentions of QAnon on other platforms, thus providing “oxygen” to once-fringe ideas (Phillips 2018). This reverberation occurred on more mainstream platforms like YouTube and Reddit, but also on QAnon’s birthplace, 4chan. As an exception to this finding, QAnon-related activity on 8chan seemed less affected by mainstream media coverage, implying a core group of somewhat isolated yet strongly committed Q-theorists.
Taking the time to map — to accurately map — the repeated, fractured, reconfiguring mobilizations emerging from anonymous and pseudo-anonymous spaces online allows us to understand where we are and how we got here. [...] fully contextualizing our present moment—particularly given how tenuous facts in our present moment have become—puts us in a better position to safeguard the actual record, and to carefully parse symptom from disease. (Phillips, Coleman & Beyer, 2017)
Instead of focusing on anonymous and pseudonymous spaces (like 4chan and 8chan) as isolated spaces, here we aim to assess the “actual record” of their alleged influence (or a lack thereof) through a comparative cross-platform approach. To do so, we compare QAnon-related data from 4chan, 8chan, Reddit, Youtube, Facebook, and online news media.
Figure 3: An article on QAnon in The Washington Post (Stanley-Becker, 2018).
We scrutinised the prevalence of the QAnon conspiracy across six online spheres. Logically, 4chan and 8chan were included in the dataset because they are the platforms on which the nebulous ‘Q’ supposedly posted. Reddit and Youtube were chosen because of their alleged role as bridges for the popularisation of fringe far right ideas and cultural productions like memes (Zannettou et al., 2018; Lewis, 2018). Facebook was chosen as a means to study the conspiracy’s dissemination on a popular social media platform. Lastly, articles on QAnon from online news media were included to study when the conspiracy ultimately boiled up to the “surface”. Because of the limited availability of recent Reddit data, we were obliged to handle October 2018 as the cut-off point in the timeframe, and October 2017 served as a logical starting point.
Data was collected from 4chan/pol/ board with the tool 4CAT (Peeters & Hagen, 2018). We merged two datasets. Firstly, we collected “Calm Before the Storm” threads, specific posts that are dedicated to the discussion of QAnon. These were collected within the timeframe of 28 November 2013 (the first appearance) to 8 January 2019 by getting all the threads that had either “cbts” or “calm before the storm” in the title of the first post (the OP). Secondly, we retrieved all posts that mentioned “q” and “qanon” (see appendix I for the specific queries).
Reddit data was collected through Reddit content hosted on Google BigQuery and collected by Pushshift (Baumgartner, 2018). Firstly, all subreddits were queried for mentions of “qanon” and “q” from October 2017 until October 2018 (see appendix I for the exact queries), treating this as the main data for analysis. Some data was found to be missing from the dataset, since Pushshift data is only collected at the end of every month, while some subreddits (e.g. r/cbts_stream or r/thegreatawakening) were terminated (“banned”) before the end of the month (respectively, March and September in our case).
The initial dataset was narrowed down in two ways. The top 20 overall subreddits with the highest frequencies of the terms of “qanon” and “q” were used for the analysis of the change of the use of these terms over time (presented in section 4.2), focusing on the data of subreddits that were generally the most engaged in the discussion. A different approach was taken to extract the most relative subreddits for each month: for each month of the 13-month-period the top 20 subreddits were found that mention “qanon” or “q” most frequently. From each of them, posts that contain the terms were extracted (17933 posts in total).
Youtube data was collected through three different steps. Firstly, we qualitatively compiled a list of channels dedicated to QAnon-related discussions by simply searching for “qanon” and exploring the channels of recommended videos. Next, we retrieved the YouTube domains from high scoring Reddit post related to QAnon from r/CBTS, r/the_great_awakening and r/The_Donald. This resulted in a curated list of QAnon Youtubers. This resulted in the following channels:
The video data from Youtube channels on the curated list was downloaded and proceeded to download the data of these channels. Secondly, we queried a dataset of thousands of videos by far-right Youtube channels compiled by an outside expert on whether they mentioned “q” or “qanon” in the title or description (see queries in appendix I). Thirdly, we collected video data from the first 500 results when searching for “qanon” using the YouTube Data Tools (Rieder, 2015). After merging these three datasets, we deleted false positives and duplicate videos manually.
The frequency units and engagement units we ultimately settled on are as follows:
Using this data, two graphs were created with RAWGraphs and Adobe Illustrator. Firstly, we used the frequency units and created histograms per platform, where each bar represented one day. These histograms were then merged on one pane for comparison. Secondly, we generated scatter plots per platform, where each dot represented one frequency unit, the x-axis represented the date, and the y-axis represented the corresponding engagement unit. We then added a “contour plot” on top of these scatterplots to highlight the concentration of and engagement with the frequency units over time. For both graphs, we used the timeframe of October 2017 until October 2018.
Supplementary to the main analysis, some additional analyses were conducted, touching upon the contents of the data. Firstly, in order to map out the issue spaces of the conspiracy on Reddit we visualised which subreddits mentioned “Q” and “QAnon” over time. The dataset of all Reddit posts in the 13-month-period containing these terms (presented in section 2.3) was grouped per subreddit. A streamgraph was made with RAWgraphs to show the pervasiveness of the conspiracy across subreddits over time.
Next, the change between the prevalence of terms “Q” and “QAnon” on Reddit over time was analysed. It was done because the latter nomenclature arguably marks a point of crystallization since it only appeared when the conspiracy had been around for a few months. The frequencies of mentions for “q” and “qanon” in the top 20 subreddits most engaged with the topic were calculated separately. A bumpchart was then made (using RAWgraphs) showing the moment of “QAnon” overtaking “Q”, which can be referred to as the crystallization of the term.
Lastly, to gain insight into what information sources were linked to most often in the given issue space, we extracted hyperlink networks from the merged datasets. For each post, the linked domain names (e.g. digitalmethods.net) were extracted from the post’s text content. These links were then mapped as a Gephi network, consisting of a set of “seed” nodes (the social media platforms) and nodes representing the links themselves. Weighted edges between seed nodes and link nodes represented the prominence of the given domain names on the respective platforms. The link network graph thus represents (1) on which social media platforms a given site was linked to and (2) how often it was linked to per platform. This data could then be used to get an impression of information source popularity per site (see section 5.3)
Figure 4: The prevalence of the QAnon-conspiracy across 4chan, 8chan, Reddit, YouTube, Facebook, and online news media from 28 October 2017 to October 2018.
Although complicated by limited data access, our research suggests that the QAnon conspiracy indeed diffused through a process similar to what we conceptualise as normiefication. It originated on 4chan, after which it quickly found a public of devotees on Reddit, 8chan, and YouTube. After “leaving” 4chan, the conspiracy was relatively consistently discussed on the latter three platforms, although various Q-related subreddits were banned, limiting the prevalence of the conspiracy theory on Reddit. Interestingly, it was only until February 2018 that the Q-related discussion on 8chan started to become common. Nine months after its inception, online news media started to widely cover the conspiracy. Notably, this sparked some Q-related discussion on 4chan again, even though it had been absent for a while. This implies the online news media indeed provided “oxygen” to the prevalence of such conspiracies, as we will further discuss below. Figure 5: The prevalence and engagement with the QAnon conspiracy from 28 October 2017 to October 2018 across 4chan, 8chan, Reddit, YouTube, Facebook, and online news media. Green bar denotes the start of media attention.To list the findings more in-depth, this section briefly covers the findings per platform.
On 8chan/pol/, there is a clear increase in posts relating to QAnon in December 2017, which corresponds with the announcement on 4chan that Q was “moving” to 8chan. The /qresearch/ board then quickly becomes consistently active from January 2018 onwards. The most engaged with threads in the data set are again so-called “general” threads, specifically intended for Q-related discussion. As indicated in the graph below, there is an assortment of less popular threads dedicated to discussing specific theories or bits of information as well. However, virtually all threads in the data set over the last two thirds of the 8chan data reach ~750 posts (91% of all threads); the limit after which 8can threads are archived or deleted and comments are disabled. This further confirms that activity remains consistent after Q-related discussion moves from 4chan to 8chan, easily filling up thread after thread. Interestingly, 8chan activity is far more consistently “dedicated” compared to the 4chan activity, where engagement fluctuates more.
Noteworthy is that in contrast with some of the other investigated platforms, there are no clear peaks in activity. Activity plateaus at its peak around July-August 2018, which corresponds with increased mainstream media coverage of QAnon. While this indicates that outside coverage does have some impact on the volume of 8chan-based discussion, given the consistently high activity before this happened the bulk of posts can perhaps be attributed to a “hard core” of posters that have been active on the platform since 4chan passed its baton.
Interestingly, August 2018 was again cemented as a tipping point since from this month onwards, ‘QAnon’ was used more than ‘Q’ in reference to the conspiracy. Indeed, this succession occurs at the same point in which QAnon is receiving coverage from mainstream media outlets.
Figure 10: Frequency of the terms “q”, “qanon”, and “q anon” in comments across Reddit from October 2017- October 2018.
The first YouTube video on the subject of QAnon was uploaded on November 2nd 2017. Three subsequent peaks in the frequency of videos posted can be seen in February 2018, May 2018, and August 2018. CNN’s report on QAnon in August of 2018 was the most commented on video in the sample, with around 14,000 comments, even though the sample principally included videos from native Youtube creators than those of mainstream media outlets. Again, these highly engaged with videos were real standouts, showing the video platform houses both dedicated channels and ‘viral’ instances related to the conspiracy. This is further emphasised because Q-related videos on the platform were frequent after and before the mainstream attention in August 2018, showing that YouTube is not wholly “mainstream”, despite being the second-most visited site worldwide.
Keeping in mind the much more limited dataset used for Facebook, there were still indications that the number of pages and posts dedicated to the topic of QAnon increased. This increase starting approximately in July 2018, reaching a consistently high level of posts for August and September. As such, activity on these dedicated Facebook pages followed the growth trends of other platforms, and a similar spike in interest following mainstream media coverage.
As a side note, it was interesting to note that several of these pages were dedicated to selling t-shirts with QAnon-related slogans and “artwork” of the kind worn by the rally participants spotted in the news, pointing to another possible type of “bridge-forming” on mainstream social media.
Under the title ‘The Storm Is the New Pizzagate — Only Worse”, the QAnon conspiracy was first covered by New York Magazine on 19 December 2017, referencing “The Storm”, another name for the conspiracy. It took several months before the phenomenon gained widespread attention on this “layer”, however. The majority of the stories on QAnon were published between late July and early September 2018. This correlates with the highest period of Google search results for the term QAnon.
Four major events were identified to drive the QAnon narrative in online news media
Figure 14: Annotated line graph of number of QAnon-related articles published on online news media
Node clusters are clearly visible in a visualisation of this network; each platform has a set of sites that are only linked on that particular platform, which co-exists with a set of sites that are linked to by all platforms (the cluster in the middle). Perhaps most interestingly, clusters of sites appear that are often linked to by some of the social media platforms, but not by others. These clusters suggest some of the platforms we included are similar in the kind of content they link to than others. For instance, the site “kek.gg” - a free image host named after one of 4chan's cult symbols - is located in the corner of 4chan, 8chan and reddit, next to nymag.com, the US magazine that first brought QAnon to mainstream attention. Conversely, a mainstream site like nytimes.com is located squarely in the middle, indicating no preference for a particular platform and emphasizing its status as an information source used by all.
Figure 16: Detail of Figure 15. Highlighted are two nodes that are linked to most prominently on Reddit, 4chan and 8chan; kek.gg and nymag.com. Nytimes.com is highlighted for comparison, being a site linked to by all platforms and therefore being positioned close to the middle of the graph.
One limiting factor here is that a significant percentage of the links found in this data were shortened links (like bit.ly, often used for convenience) or archive links (links to archived versions of the original page). We did not attempt to 'expand' these links and trace them to the original links, which could be an interesting next step.
What does our limited QAnon case study say about the concept of normiefication? For one, there indeed seems to be a observable “wave” between the “layers”. The conspiracy was most consistently discussed on 4chan and Reddit, before moving to 8chan, YouTube, Facebook, and, eventually, showing its face in reports by news media. 4chan, labelled as the “birthplace of memes” here emphasises this characterisation, being the initial fertile grounds for the “bullshit accumulation” (Tuters et al., 2018) of Q. Reddit might share itself amongst 4chan in this regard, as redditors were quick to pick up on the conspiracy. However, the findings also show limits to equating these lower “strata” of the cultural Web stack, as e.g. 8chan latched on later than 4chan, and the former shows remarkably continuous activity compared to the latter, remaining relatively unaffected by the mainstream coverage.
The findings show news media amplified the QAnon conspiracy. News media coverage alings with increased activity on both 4chan, Reddit, YouTube, and Facebook. However, the negative effects of this amplification remain implicit. It is reasonable to assume that much of the Q-related activity following the news media attention was not as much concerned with the truth value of the conspiracy, but rather elicited ridicule or merely commented on the media storm. Further, while Q-related activity on 4chan spiked shortly after the reports in August 2018, it quickly faded as well, implying the media reports did not provide the conspiracy any substantial legs. However, perhaps these dangers of amplification are more serious on other “layers” like YouTube and Facebook. Follow-up research should delineate and characterise these influences, or the lack thereof.
One unanswered question is where and when the Trump-supporting Q-enthusiasts at the Tampa rally -- who would be characterised as normies by self-styled Internet natives -- came to be engaged with the conspiracy. From our limited findings, it is not clear which point exactly the conspiracy moved from the online to the offline. Such spillovers are not of main concern for a digital methods approach, which attempts to ground their findings in the online (Rogers, 2013). Still, it would nonetheless be informative in relation to the concept of normiefication, as it could pinpoint where obscure, slightly ironic online phenomena like the Q-craze are likely to crystallize into forms of traditional activism.
These differences in engagement with the QAnon conspiracy are already implicit in the limited content analyses we performed. The dominant nomenclature of the conspiracy changed from “Q” to “QAnon” on Reddit after August 2018. While the conspiracy was prevalent throughout the analysed “layers”, the sources used alongside this discussion clearly differ from platform to platform, as became apparent with the hyperlinks analyses. This thus suggest that within the wider QAnon issue public there exist distinct subgroups with their own preferred information sources. The diffusion of the conspiracy should perhaps thus not be understood as a simple expansion of actors concerned with the issue, eventually also incorporating “normies”, but rather points to the establishment of new, related, but distinct issue publics that discuss a shared issue, but are distinct in their use of information sources.
The main limitations of this project arose from equating data across multiple platforms. Can you reasonably compare activity on 4chan/pol/ to 8chan/qresearch/? And do videos on YouTube reasonably equate as ‘frequency units’ to Reddit posts? How do comments on Facebook compare to CrowdTangle engagements with news articles? These are unpreventable limitations when performing cross-platform analyses, as one necessarily has to deal with comparing different platform ontologies. Follow-up research could rethink the steps we took for this project and perhaps generate some more advanced and more comparable engagement metrics.
Further, each platform presented their own limitations in terms of data collections. Our 4chan sample is quite complete, but the 8chan sample only included the board /qresearch/. Since 8chan allows user-generated boards, other relevant boards should perhaps have been included as well, like 8chan/pol/. On Reddit, the QAnon-devoted subreddits r/cbts_stream and r/thegreatawakening were both banned and removed from the website. Because of a slight delay in archiving, data for these subreddits ended earlier than their actual disappearance. Our YouTube sample does not cover all videos on Q, but rather had to rely on a variety of approaches to garner a representative dataset. For Facebook, we only included a relatively small sample of public pages as the platform is increasingly being closed off for research. Similarly, the articles from online news media articles are only a limited sample, and could be expanded to include several of the biggest media outlets. Other platforms that might have been relevant, like Twitter, were also not included in the current research, both because of limited data access and time constraints.
This research took the imaginary vernacular concept of the “normie” and attempted to test whether it could be what we refer to as normiefication. Although studying such information diffusion is nothing, this concept highlights the online spread of subcultural ideas and obscure vernacular from obscure origins to mainstream attention, afforded by the ease of shareability of the Internet. Tracing such diffusion might shine light on how fringe areas of the Web might form hotbeds for the spread of outlandish ideas and their subsequent normalization. It also shines light on the role of the “mainstream”, which might willingly or unwillingly provide oxygen to fringe ideas.
As a case study, we traced the QAnon conspiracy across subcultural strata to mainstream layers. To a large extent, our findings can be said to confirm the “normiefication thesis”. We indeed observed a gradual spillover 4chan, Reddit, 8chan, YouTube, Facebook, and, ultimately, online news media. While activity on the origin, 4chan, quickly dwindled, the results suggest platforms like YouTube might function as “bridge platforms” that bring the conspiracy to a wider audience online. The research further suggests online news sources reporting on QAnon in August 2018 did somewhat amplify the conspiracy across platforms, creating a “Streisand effect” and providing “oxygen” to once-fringe ideas (Phillips, 2018). However, the effects of this amplification have to be further explored by analysing how the conspiracy was discussed.
As mentioned, this study merely provided some quantitative insights into the prevalence of the QAnon. Analysis on how the conspiracy was engaged with over time and across platforms would be an informative next step. How did the Q-related discussion change over time and across platforms? Could this identify publics that are engaging with the conspiracy as outright activism, or are there also elements of ironic roleplay to be distinguished? Regarding the concept of normiefication, conducting other case studies could further test the salience of the concept, for instance by tracing the use of a specific meme across subcultural and mainstream Internet platforms.
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SQL Query used to get mentions of ‘Q’ on the analysed platforms.
WHERE (lower(title) LIKE '% q %'